Sunday, August 7, 2011

Next iPhone in October? I'll stick to September - and here is the reason

Apple CEO Steve Jobs holds up the new iPod nanoKeep in mind when the iPod Nano was launched in 2005 in life? As in case? This is an important note that whether the next iPhone will come in October. Photo: Lou de matt ice/Reuters

Believe nothing what you about the iPhone's 5 start reading, if you really, really trust. And even then wrong look at it.

In the last 24 hours, which were intertubes buzzing even more than possible on the idea that "the" the "iPhone 5" (Note: may be called multiple; may not be iPhone 5) will be delayed until October. This has come the spin-off-stand-alone blog from the Wall Street from no less authoritative source as John Paczkowski on AllThingsD, journal, and so meant an authoritative source be.

Well, maybe. It is absolutely possible that Paczkowski has nailed this and that the iPhone(s) ends up until October. However, I would like to point that, from my understanding, ATD needs are not the same tough tests, the article in the wall journal do Street, where even "anonymous" sources with the name of the senior editors and in force for independence must be checked. Update: my mistake not contact with ATD before writing. For complete clarification of ATD wall works with the high standards as the WSJ, and - to Walt Mossberg Street Journal and ATD - quote "John's senior editors (Kara [Swisher] and I) know the origin of this story". He adds that "All our recent article on Apple events was accurate." (The WSJ is very, very the motto in the Interior of the building hot on not getting things wrong, is that it is better to be late and correct as early and wrong.) I am happy to repeat my confidence in John Paczkowski and the ATD very high professional standards.)

I know that the next iPhone version will be in September? No, not sure. There are however two more revealing information I know, a public, a less:
• Apple iOS5, which can apparently provide the next iPhone version with current rolls towards a September release. See, there are even Web-beta for iCloud.
• My carrier sources tell me that the fields in the new iPhone hardware is shrouded were promoted for the examination to the carriers. This is an important step in the release cycle for each mobile phone. I pointed out the other week, the release of Windows phone "Mango" code to the developers means that mobile phone manufacturers are developing their versions can begin, which then means that they move the phones to get the process towards version. But WP "Mango" phones are expected until October at the earliest.

The next iPhones go for their tests in locked and sealed boxes, so that the institution to conduct checks on their network compatibility in their laboratories. It is very high security, as you could imagine; my understanding is that hardly anyone gets the carriers to open, and even if they do the hardware these boxes is shrouded in a dummy job, which means that it have no idea what will do the actual phone. This is by the way, which led to "Antennagate": it simply enough people outside Apple, which in detail, to discover the problems with the reception had tried the iPhone 4 in his real form had been not.

You can bet that Apple has presented some misleading regulation, which would identify photo from each of these test labs all leak from a telephone and not the carrier would like to become their Mitarbeiter had done. (The employee would likely not employees are very long either.)

The new iPhones are either way, in the system, which means, they must get approval now only - which certainly only to the most - some weeks take and can then be signed for the production.

Now, would Apple share why the phones in October instead of September? Remember, that it wants to maximize their revenues, and the expectation is that these phones come - it may be even a pause in sales as people expect something new. (And also how they make vacation.) Come September, people are getting ready to go.

It is a lesson from the history here. In 2005 already held in September Apple a "special event" the (dire) Motorola ROKR - launch the first phone, the ran also iTunes! (It was horrendous). To make for the ROKR or generally, to ignore it altogether, to build, because Steve Jobs had already decided that it was rubbish and had the project go iPhone, Apple has iPod Nano.

The Nano was a k.o.-seller. But the keynote at Apple's Paris Expo was a week or two later jobs. He was then asked why, waited, not he, until he had a great opportunity, show to its new product? Why do it in a small town on a small invited audience (if intrigued with one press on satellite links)?

As jobs said, even a week could make a big difference if you are looking for in the run-up to Christmas. He then said "Every week before the holidays, and we two weeks wanted to wait the counts when weekly is one of very high volumes".

It is most likely the same with the iPhone: Apple is to be expected, this is a big seller around Christmas (if there is one or two versions; if it is a smaller "nano"-iPhone price, then means that will have even more pressure on sale for more).

Now, would Apple see why release in October? By the logic of "get it out there earlier so that more people buy it", there is no sense in so long wait. The only reason why Apple would delay the start in this way, would be if it has taken to manufacture a problem. But supply lines are quiet; There are plenty of capacity (Apple secured it after the Japanese earthquake in March). It can be either so a supply constraint.

I think we can surprise even to the largest bonkers "on the one hand, but then again no" discount booking boy genius report that says "we a reliable source of Canadian carrier TELUS received confirmed information according to Apple's iPhone 5 looks to the touchdown on October 1 in Canada." In the past, Apple has flip flopped between release of his iconic Smartphone in the United States first and then Canada or start his phone at the same time in the United States and Canada as it did with the iPhone 3GS. "

First of all, it is not flip-flopping; It varies. Secondly, it answers the question why it important because it not the general question whether the introduction is nothing in September or October responds.

My gut feeling, allies to information from carriers and Apple's history is that we are still looking for a September release. Who knows, perhaps even the good people of ATD was someone misdirecting the proposal of October, only to forestall decline of August. I'm not saying that John Packzowski is wrong or misreporting; only, that its can be. Not long now, but wait to find out the right.

(Updated this detail about boxes comes to clarify carrier sources.)
(Updated to clarify all things digital request for the procurement.)


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