Monday, July 25, 2011

Post-PC? What Apple iPad you tell us about computing future sales and PC trends

PC sales without Apple 2007q3-2011q2, around the world. Source: Gartner
Some interesting points, the third as a result of Apple's quarter (fiscal year starts in September) results, and the lion version and the version of the new computer of the other day and broader developments in the computer sales:
• iPads (9.2 m) exceeded Macs (3.95 m) in the fourth quarter in a row - and they are now more than double sold.
• If you iPads "Piece described" as (Steve Ballmer does, but you can not agree) then Apple would be the second largest PC maker in the world (according to HP, which in the second quarter according to Gartner 14.9 m units shipped.)
Probably not useful one IOS as "PC" define it however. The whole Tablet class is intended for a different kind of data processing; the HP TouchPad safely positioned itself as a business device (something that by its leaders me time and again stressed), but the kind of work do you do with him fits in places where laptops and desktops just not go.
The new Mac mini released • no optical drive (CD or DVD) on Wednesday.
• The new MacBook Airs have released on Wednesday no optical drive.
• The low-end MacBook is gradually abolished.
The new MacBook Airs • use only Flash (SSD) drives. They are smaller, but they are much faster than hard drives.
• Lion will be available as a download for $29 in the United States (£ 21 in the UK) or can it on a USB key for $69.
• Lion is much more like a Tablet operating system than previous versions of OS X. Not surprisingly, since Snow Leopard came out before the iPad OS had been completed.
• Lion has a "Internet recovery" where if the hard disk of your computer needs repair, you can start from the Internet. You need high speed, but it is available in many places. This will not help if your hard drive crashes, but it is certainly helpful.
• If you Apple's Macintosh auctions of the worldwide PC market, a total of 81.2 m (Gartner), or 80.4 (IDC)-strip Windows PCs were sold in the quarter. I assume that close to accurate as if it compares you with my analysis of Microsoft's "more than 400 m Windows 7 licenses" sold where I 80 m PCs than the figure offered (because obviously Microsoft has received a license to Macintosh programmes).
• Who is a year growth of Windows PCs by only 1.8%; and that growth is only visible as a clip of 9% of PC sales in the Asia Pacific region grew to. The picture in the United States and Western is the contraction in Windows PC sales. (I am qualified to add as Apple, grew again faster than the rest of the market - 11.9% or almost ten times faster - for 16 consecutive quarters.) (It comes from a very low base, but it is still an interesting fact, which must point to a "halo effect" from the success of the iPhone and iPad recently.)
• Microsoft is looking for tablets and other devices to: his ambitious "an ecosystem" plan seems in a world where you can not, your desktop PC... or you may be aligned. You may be on a tablet. For Microsoft, it is the only way forward.
Since all... you'll see a few things. PC sales in the West, where they first invaded really look how they have passed their peak. Companies replace older systems have been driving sales together, but consumers hold back. Sometimes this will be due to the Economic Outlook: faced people in the paddling is no reason at the moment when the prognosis is exactly rosy with the United States United States and Europe with its debt ceiling and the euro area a meltdown.
But the risk that at the time these two crises have sorted itself out and in the United States and Europe back to "normal" growth (what that sees in the future), will have turned to computing trends. Apple tends to be the computer industry to places to which already it could go, but is enough not quite brave to in to move: give up floppy drives with the iMac, and Wi-Fi in laptops. (True, Dell was the first time with Wi-Fi in laptops, but not push it it out more than half of its laptop line, as Apple did with the original iBook.)
Now Apple are saying is that the future is no optical drive, no hard (Flash instead) Internet and boots. Many of the computing future might look not like the computing past. Are the right way for children to interact with computers learn elementary schools first desktop PC really? Does everyone in a company need a desktop or laptop?
Yes, one could certainly argue that tablets are just a passing fad like Netbooks. (And look where going Netbooks: sales are way down.) But Microsoft doesn't seem to think that; It seems to think tablets (as a slate or "Convertible" tablet with keyboards) are an important segment.
Apple, meanwhile, thinks that all connections in the cloud. Google agreement with its GoToMyPC, which is completely cloud-based (albeit with some offline work promised.) Which provides on also a note if you're going to see that Blu-ray drives in Apple Macs. Yes, they are all over the place in Windows laptops. But it looks that they will never come to Apple machines. Apple is instead in the direction of downloads show way she sees things in the future.
And if you think that's just Apple, consider this question: faith guides you, that we are all at some point end 2012 expect these Windows 8 tablets, bulky DVD or Blu-ray drives will contain? And do you think that it the spinning hard drives or SSDs? The answer is pretty obvious.
Microsoft reports results on Thursday night. See what he says about PC sales. (The transcript is time on seeking Alpha the next morning UK.)
Go - predictions, what the data will look like in five years. Five years ago there was no iPads, no Netbooks, hardly SSDs, and you get even floppy drives, but it was a Blu-ray drive is difficult to achieve. How about 2016? What does, that you look like?

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